Saturday, January 31, 2009

IWM Iron Condor Result

I'm worried that IWM can continue to move south so I have removed some of the risk on the put side. The call side does not look threatened so I just leave it there.

BTC 3 Feb 39/37 put for $0.20

With this adjust, I can let price move to $40 before I start losing money. Also, I placed a GTC order to buy back the remaining 2 contract for $0.10.

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

AZO Earnings Calendar

Earnings on AutoZone is due out on March 3. Volatility will stay inflated or slightly trend higher the next few weeks, which is perfect for a calendar. My first profit target is 15% and I expect to be completely out of the short position by Feb 17. Breakeven is roughly $130 and $141. If price reaches these points, I will adjust the position.

BTO 2 AZO Feb/Mar 135 Call for $4.85

Friday, January 16, 2009

ALK followup trade

Alaska Air hit my target projection of $30 twice! The first time was last week then price reversed. Today, it moved $1.78 to close at $29.78. Unfortunately for me, I was out of my calendar on Wednesday for a profit of $.44 on $1.43 risk. If I stayed in until today then my profit could have been $1.10. But a win is a win.
One thing I noticed is the earning is due out the last week of Jan which should have increased the Feb IV. However, IV has stayed very neutral this month. One of the reasons I choose this trade was using the IV increase as a way to profit on the trade.

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

AAPL Trade Results

Apple did not turn out like I expected. The stock price began to move aggressively the first week of January. It actually touched my short strike and I was worried it might go further so I decide to close my put side (for a loss). The very next day, price retraced and never looked back. Overall, I still made a profit. But I would have made more if I kept the put side in place.

Trade log:
1/13 STC Jan/Feb 95/100 CALL $2.74
1/6 STC Jan/Feb 75/70 PUT $.90

12/30 BTO Jan/Feb 75/70 PUT $1.46
12/29 BTO Jan/Feb 95/100 CALL $1.65

Profit of $.53. Not too bad for a trade that went wrong.

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

IWM Iron Condor

On Dec 31, placed a IWM iron condor.
STO 5 Feb 39/37 put spread credit $0.20
STO 5 Feb 59/61 call spread credit $0.21
Potential 25% return on risk

With todays down action it made the iron condor centered almost perfectly. Just now have to sit back and wait for time to diminish away.


Thursday, January 01, 2009

Santa Claus Rally (late)

Happy New Year!
Rally finally happened. One week late but still showed up at the party. The futures Thursday night indicate that the market will open lower. Its hard to tell if the market will continue the mini rally for January.